Posts Tagged ‘Economics’

Western Economies = Laundry Operations for Yids

Bernie The Jewish Banker, singing to the tune of Here We Go ’round the Mulberry Bush: “‘This is the way we launder your economy, launder your economy, launder your economy’…Yes, it’s so easy to cycle the White economies: Wash>Rinse>Spin>Bankrupt gentiles/rich Jews>Repeat!”

[Article].

Where Your Tax Money Goes

If you’re like me, now that we’re in the week that federal income taxes are due, you are finally starting to collect your records and prepare for the ordeal. Either way, whether you are a procrastinator like me, or have already finished and know how much you have paid to the government, it is a good time to stop and consider how much of your money goes to pay for our bloated and largely useless and pointless military.

The budget for the 2011 fiscal year, which has to be voted by Congress by this Oct. 1, looks to be about $3 trillion, not counting the funds collected for Social Security (since the Vietnam War, the government has included the Social Security Trust Fund in the budget as a way to make the cost of America’s imperial military adventures seem smaller in comparison to the total cost of government). Meanwhile, the military share of the budget works out to about $1.6 trillion.

That figure includes the Pentagon budget request of $708 billion, plus an estimated $200 billion in supplemental funding, called “overseas contingency funding” in euphemistic White House-speak), to fund the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, some $40 billion or more in “black box” intelligence agency funding, $94 billion in non-DOD military spending (that’s for stuff like the military share of NASA funding, the miilitary operations of the Dept. of Homeland Security and the military activities of the State Dept., etc.), $100 billion in veterans benefits and health care spending, and $400 billion in interest on debt raised to pay for prior wars and the standing military.


The 2011 military budget, by the way, is the largest in history, not just in actual dollars, but in inflation-adjusted dollars, exceeding even the spending in World War II, when the nation was on an all-out war footing.

This military spending in all its myriad forms represents 53.3% of total US federal spending.

It’s also a budget that is rising at a faster pace than any other part of the budget (with the possible exception of bailing out crooked Wall Street financial firms and their managers). For the past decade, and continuing under the present administration, military budgets have been rising at a 9% annual clip, making health care inflation look tame by comparison.

US military spending isn’t just half of the US budget. It is also half of the entire global spending on war and weaponry.


In 2009, according to the venerable War Resisters League, US military spending accounted for 47% of all money spent globally on war, weapons and military preparedness, and that share has certainly risen in the subsequent two years.

What makes that staggering figure particularly ridiculous is that America’s allies–countries like France, Britain, Germany, Italy, and Japan–account for another 21% of the world’s military spending. Fully 12 of the top-spenders among big military-spending nations are either allies of the US, or are friendly countries like Brazil and India. That is to say, America and its friends and allies account for more than two-thirds of all military spending worldwide. (Not to mention the fact we are the main source of income to Israel)

Who is the real threat to peace here?

China, in contrast, probably the closest thing to a real “threat” to American interests because of America’s treaty commitments to the island nation of Taiwan, and China’s claim that the island is an integral part of the PRC, spends only some $130 billion on its military, much of which is actually devoted to maintaining military control over the country’s own 1.3 billion people, some of whom might prefer to be independent, or to be freer, if they weren’t under a military jackboot.

The next biggest military spender, Russia, spends less than $80 billion a year on its decrepit military–one-twentieth of the US, and isn’t even technically an enemy of the America anymore. Its military is largely busy keeping restive regions from spinning off from the mother country, anyhow.

Meanwhile Iran, which the White House and Congress are portraying as America’s arch enemy despite its not having invaded another country in hundreds of years, isn’t even on the list of the top 17 military big-spenders. Iran’s current military budget is a teensy $4.8 billion, about the same as the estimated $5 billion spent on the military by North Korea–America’s other “major enemy.” Each of those country’s military budgets is about one-quarter of the military budget of Australia, or a third of the military budget of the Netherlands.

Just to give one an idea of how small $4.8 billion is in comparison to the $1.6 trillion that the US is spending each year on war and planning for war, that number is roughly what the Pentagon plans to spend over the next year on childcare and youth programs, morale and recreation programs and commissaries on its bases! It’s about what the Pentagon will spend acquiring replacement Seahawk, Chinook and Blackhawk helicopters this year.

For the average American, what all this means is that of every dollar you send to the IRS, 53 cents will be going to pay for blowing stuff up, fattening the wallets of colonels, admirals and generals, bloating the portfolios of investors in military industries, and of course funding the bonuses paid to executives of those companies, and the campaign chests and expense accounts of the members of Congress who vote for these outlandish budgets. Your money will also be going to pay for the salaries and the bullets of those brave heroes over in Afghanistan who are executing kids, killing pregnant women (and then digging out the bullets and claiming they were stabbed by their families), and for the anti-personnel weapons that are creating legions of legless Afghan kids.

Next time you hear that the government needs to cut funds for providing medical care to the children of laid-off workers, or that supplemental unemployment funds are running out, next time you hear that federal funds that are needed to fund extra teachers at your school are being cut, or that Social Security benefits need to be cut back, or the retirement age needs to be increased to 70, next time you hear that your local post office has to be shut down for lack of funds, next time you hear that Medicare benefits need to be reduced, think about that 53% of your tax payment that is going to finance the most enormous war machine the world has ever known.

And ask yourself: Is this really necessary? Is this really where I want my money going? Is this really making us safer, or our nation more secure

The Truth Will Set You Free: <center>Where Your Taxes Go -<br> The Pentagon’s Escalating Share</center>

Foreclosure rates surge, biggest jump in 5 years

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Foreclosure rates surge, biggest jump in 5 years
By ALEX VEIGA, AP Real Estate Writer Alex Veiga, Ap Real Estate Writer Thu Apr 15, 12:34 am ET
LOS ANGELES – A record number of U.S. homes were lost to foreclosure in the first three months of this year, a sign banks are starting to wade through the backlog of troubled home loans at a faster pace, according to a new report.

RealtyTrac Inc. said Thursday that the number of U.S. homes taken over by banks jumped 35 percent in the first quarter from a year ago. In addition, households facing foreclosure grew 16 percent in the same period and 7 percent from the last three months of 2009.

More homes were taken over by banks and scheduled for a foreclosure sale than in any quarter going back to at least January 2005, when RealtyTrac began reporting the data, the firm said.

"We’re right now on pace to see more than 1 million bank repossessions this year," said Rick Sharga, a RealtyTrac senior vice president.

Foreclosures began to ease last year as banks came under pressure from the Obama administration to modify home loans for troubled borrowers. In addition, some states enacted foreclosure moratoriums in hopes of giving homeowners behind in payments time to catch up. And in many cases, banks have had trouble coping with how to handle the glut of problem loans.

These factors have helped slow the pace of foreclosures, but now that trend appears to be reversing.

"We’re finally seeing the banks start to process the inventory that has been in foreclosure, but delayed in processing," Sharga said. "We expect the pace to accelerate as the year goes on."

In all, more than 900,000 households, or one in every 138 homes, received a foreclosure-related notice, RealtyTrac said. The firm based in Irvine, Calif., tracks notices for defaults, scheduled home auctions and home repossessions.

Homeowners continue to fall behind on payments because they’ve lost their job or seen their mortgage payment rise due to an interest-rate reset. Many are unable to refinance because they now owe more on their loan than their home is worth.

The Obama administration’s $75 billion foreclosure prevention program has only been able to help a small fraction of troubled homeowners.

About 231,000 homeowners have completed loan modifications as part of the Obama administration’s flagship foreclosure prevention program through March. That’s about 21 percent of the 1.2 million borrowers who began the program over the past year.

But another 158,000 homeowners who signed up have dropped out — either because they didn’t make payments or failed to return the necessary documents. That’s up from about 90,000 just a month earlier.

Last month, the administration expanded the program, launching a plan to reduce the amount some troubled borrowers owe on their home loans and give jobless homeowners a temporary break. But the details of those programs are expected to take months to work out.

The states with the highest foreclosure rates in the first quarter were Nevada, Arizona, Florida and California, with Nevada leading the pack, RealtyTrac said.

Rising home prices and speculation fueled a wave of home construction there during the housing boom. But now the state, particularly around the Las Vegas metropolitan area, is saddled with a glut of unsold homes.

Still, the number of homes in Nevada that received a foreclosure filing dropped 16 percent from the first quarter last year.

All told, one in every 33 homes in Nevada was facing foreclosure, more than four times the national average, RealtyTrac said.

Foreclosure filings rose on an annual and quarterly basis in Arizona, however.

One in every 49 homes there received a foreclosure-related notice during the quarter.

Florida, meanwhile, posted the third-highest foreclosure rate with one out of every 57 properties receiving a foreclosure filing.

California accounted for the biggest slice overall of homes facing foreclosure — roughly 23 percent of the nation’s total. One in every 62 properties received a foreclosure filing in the first quarter.

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Print Story: Foreclosure rates surge, biggest jump in 5 years – Yahoo! News

Why JP Morgan Really Opposes Principal Write-downs

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2010-04-14 — denninger.net

For all of the bank’s moralizing, [the sanctity of contracts] is not what’s at issue here. It’s the $448 billion in equity lines and other junior loans held primarily by the nation’s four biggest banks. If principal writedown is allowed, most of the equity lines involved will be wiped out if the property is underwater. In fact, the plan Obama announced last week for owners of such homes allowed only 10 cents to 20 cents on the dollar for second-lien holders.

Right now second lienholders are holding up mortgage modifications for underwater homes. Yet mortgage experts clearly have determined that a borrower whose mortgage is more than 115 percent underwater will likely walk away from the home. If the borrower walks away, the first lienholder forecloses and the second lienholder gets nothing anyway.
448 billion times zero = how many times the Tier 1 Common Equity – or Tier 1 Capital – of those very same four large banks?

There’s your problem right there – if the actual market value of these seconds was to be recognized by the banks (that’s zero – bupkis – nil – bandersnatch – zilch) they would all be insolvent right here and now.

It’s nice to see this showing up in more and more publications.

Oh, and let’s add in their exposure to the nearly half-a-trillion in CDOs too, with nearly all of those worth a nickel on the dollar – at best.

Now if we could just get the attention of those pesky jackasses at the OCC, SEC – or even better, the FBI – we might get them to quit swilling coffee and donuts and instead start doing their damn jobs!

source below

Dimon Fumbles For His Protective Plate – The Market Ticker

Morgan Stanley Loses $5.4B In RE Fund: Biggest Loss In History!

Submitted by Econophile on 04/13/2010 22:36 -0500

Black Swans Credit Conditions European Central Bank Housing Market Morgan Stanley Nassim Taleb Real estate Wall Street Journal

From The Daily Capitalist

Here’s a story for the decade. Morgan Stanley’s Msref VI, an $8.8 billion real estate fund, lost $5.4 billion, the biggest loss in the history of private real estate equity investing. This story is just out from the Wall Street Journal and it is worth a read.

It isn’t clear from the article, but they bought many of their properties in 2007. I don’t have to tell you how insane of a move that was when the U.S. housing market was collapsing. One of their big misses was the Eurotower in Franfurt which, ironically, is the home of the European Central Bank.

I’ll give you a hint what may have motivated Morgan; according to the article:

When times were good, the fund generated fat fees for various segments of the bank. In 2007 alone, Morgan Stanley earned $104 million in acquisition fees, $22 million in fund-management fees, $13 million in financing fees, $36 million in real-estate-management fees, and $21 million in financial-advisory fees, according to fund documents reviewed by the Journal.

Here are some highlights of the article:

The soured investments made by the $8.8 billion fund, Msref VI International, continue to be a distraction for Morgan Stanley as it tries to extricate the fund from complex deals around the world. In many cases, the company can’t walk away from foundering investments because the fund made billions of dollars in guarantees.

Morgan Stanley now is negotiating with lenders to reduce the fund’s obligations on the money it borrowed, its interest payments, renovation costs and other expenses. …

As credit conditions worsened, Morgan Stanley executives had to spend increasing amounts of their time disentangling the fund’s complex deals. About 20% of the $8.8 billion raised for the fund came out of the pockets of Morgan Stanley and its employees.

There’s not much Morgan Stanley can say about this other than mea culpa. It appears they are having trouble raising money for Msref VII.

I have been very critical of the state of current economic thinking by financial institutions, especially their analysis of the causes of business cycles (see "The Smartest Guys in the Room). It appears, like many of their counterparts, Morgan Stanley never saw it coming. Many institutions didn’t want to see it coming because the fees were too good.

Another criticism is the poor analysis of risk in investments. Being a big fan of Nassim Taleb and Benoit Mandelbrot, I believe the investment risk models that are still being used on Wall Street despite the disastrous investment results, are inadequate to protect investors from "fat tails" and "black swans." While I understand that financial markets analysis differs from real estate investment analysis, they both construct models that ignore the possibility of major systemic risks.

Real estate analysis takes into account regional differences and economies, but I have seen little competent analysis of macroeconomic impacts either regionally or globally. In this crash, did no one see that residential real estate was riding a credit bubble, which, if collapsed, would devastate credit markets, reveal vast commercial overbuilding and inflated cap rates that relied on asset appreciation to make sense?

As we all know, the answer is, no.

Here is part of their press release (Jun 20 2007) upon the completion of the funding of Msref VI:

“The record size of this fund, both for Morgan Stanley Real Estate and among real estate investment managers, is indicative of strong capital flows into real estate as new investors seek exposure to the asset class and existing investors increase their allocations,” said John Carrafiell, Managing Director and Global Co-Head of Morgan Stanley Real Estate Investing. “Real estate is increasingly becoming an important component of an asset allocation strategy because it offers portfolio diversification and the ability to invest in ‘real’ assets, which provide uncorrelated investment returns compared to other asset classes.”

“We believe that attractive opportunities to invest in real estate around the globe will continue as demand for all asset types outpaces supply,” said Sonny Kalsi, Managing Director and Global Co-Head of Morgan Stanley Real Estate Investing. “Global employment growth, an aging population in the west, a growing population in the east, and accelerating urbanization in many emerging markets will drive the need for all types of quality real estate.”

I’ll bet they wish they had never said that.

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Morgan Stanley Loses $5.4B In RE Fund: Biggest Loss In History! | zero hedge

Jews do not control the FED!!!

I just read this on the ADL website:

Quote:

For centuries, anti-Semitic propaganda has demonized the Jew as a conspiratorial, manipulative outsider, often with powers and designs of world domination. From the Middle Ages through the Holocaust, fabricated accusations against Jews as poisoners and corrupters have led to horrendous suffering for the Jewish people.

In more recent years, the anti-Semitic notion that "the Jews" dominate and command the U.S. Federal Reserve System and in effect control the world’s money has surfaced across the extremist spectrum. Contemporary economic anxieties and distrust of government have given new life to this timeworn myth.

The world of finance is an area of complexity, if not mystery, to most Americans, and confusions can easily be manipulated and suspicions aroused. The bigot’s rationale is often conveyed in inflated images of intricate, stealthy "conspiracies." For example, under the headline "The jews [sic] have a Plan," the Idaho-based Nazi-like group Aryan Nations has reported finding significance in the fact that the Federal Reserve System and the Anti-Defamation League were founded in the same year — 1913. Another "specialist" in anti-Semitic conspiracy fantasies, Minister Louis Farrakhan of the Nation of Islam, recently expounded and embellished the same "historical" point.


oh, goodie goodie!!! -lol-

The Myth of Jewish Control of the Federal Reserve: Introduction

I know. It really is the Jesuit Vatican!

Orthodox jewish schools in NYC hit the jackpot

Orthodox Jewish schools hit the jackpot when federal stimulus funds were handed out last year around the state, collecting more than $1 million through school lunch-program grants, while the city’s Department of Education snared just $2 million — although it has 10 times as many students.
Records show that the state received just under $6 million late last year from the Department of Agriculture to distribute to schools enrolled in the National School Lunch Program.
The money was targeted for schools where more than 50 percent of students were eligible for free lunches, meaning the neediest.
Jane Briggs, a state education spokeswoman, said the yeshivas did well because, "based on the poverty levels in the schools, their eligibility was high."

Read more: Orthodox schools in New York city got $1 million in stimulus cash, entire city Board of Education got only $2 million – NYPOST.com

Is the Fed HBooks? elping the Big Banks to Cook Their

An Insolvent System?
Is the Fed HBooks? elping the Big Banks to Cook Their
By MIKE WHITNEY

On Friday, the Wall Street Journal revealed details of a cover up by the nation’s largest banks that have been engaged in potentially-criminal accounting activities to conceal the amount of debt on their balance sheets. The SEC has been notified of the allegations and has launched a probe to determine whether further action is needed. Among the banks implicated, are Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Bank of America, and Citigroup. According to the WSJ:

"Major banks have masked their risk levels in the past five quarters by temporarily lowering their debt just before reporting it to the public, according to data from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. A group of 18 banks….understated the debt levels used to fund securities trades by lowering them an average of 42 per cent at the end of each of the past five quarterly periods, the data show. The banks, which publicly release debt data each quarter, then boosted the debt levels in the middle of successive quarters." ("Big Banks Mask Risk Levels", Kate Kelly, Tom McGinty, Dan Fitzpatrick, Wall Street Journal)

The article has set off alarm bells on Wall Street because of the similarity between Lehman Bros. "repo 105" transactions and these new signs of obfuscation by other large banks. "Repo 105" is an accounting device that Lehman used to hide $50 billion in debt off its balance sheet in an attempt to mislead investors about the true state of its financial health. The WSJ story suggests that the practice may be more widespread than originally thought. The "repo 105" scandal is further complicated by suspicions that Lehman was assisted in its effort by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York which, at the time, was headed by the present Secretary of the Treasury, Timothy Geithner. Here is a short recap of what transpired between the Geithner’s NY Fed and Lehman according to ex-regulator William Black and former NY governor Eliot Spitzer from an article on Huffington Post:

"The FRBNY [i.e., New York Fed] knew that Lehman was engaged in smoke and mirrors designed to overstate its liquidity and, therefore, was unwilling to lend as much money to Lehman. The FRBNY did not, however, inform the SEC, the public, or the Office of Thrift Supervision (which regulated an S&L that Lehman owned) of what should have been viewed by all as ongoing misrepresentations.

The Fed’s behavior made it clear that officials didn’t believe they needed to do more with this information. The FRBNY remained willing to lend to an institution with misleading accounting and neither remedied the accounting nor notified other regulators who may have had the opportunity to do so…… We now know from Valukas and from former Treasury Secretary Paulson that the Treasury and the Fed knew that Lehman was massively overstating its on-book asset values." (Time for the Truth" William Black and Eliot Spitzer, Huffington Post)

So the question is whether the NY Fed helped other banks conceal important financial information from investors, too. And–if that’s the case–then how can the public be confident that the biggest banks in the country are truly solvent?
According to the WSJ: "An official at the Federal Reserve Board noted that the Fed continuously monitors asset levels at the large bank-holding companies, but the financing activities captured in the New York Fed’s data fall under the purview of the Securities and Exchange Commission, which regulates brokerage firms."

The Fed’s explanation is a tacit denial of its responsibility to regulate or report suspicious accounting practices to the appropriate agencies. The response is not just "buck passing", but also suggests collusion. So far, there’s no clear link between the Fed and the shady bookeeping at the banks. But many now believe that — in the case of Lehman — the Fed acted as an "enabler", either by serving as a counterparty in repo 105 deals or by looking the other way while the transactions were executed. Either way, the situation demands an independent investigation.

To put the WSJ article in context, it helps to review the details of the Lehman case. Here’s an excerpt from an article by Eric Dash in the NY Times:

"Newly released report on the collapse of Lehman Brothers … sheds surprising new light on Lehman’s dealings with the New York Fed. Lehman engaged in a series of transactions with the New York Fed that were similar to the ones that drew criticism from the bankruptcy court examiner who investigated its collapse….

“The report by Mr. Valukas nonetheless raises fresh questions about the role of the New York Fed in supporting Lehman during the frantic months leading up to its collapse. It suggests that Lehman executives believed the Fed would be able to help the bank avert disaster and provide it with a business opportunity…

“Lehman, desperate for financing, seized its chance. It packaged billions of dollars of troubled corporate loans into an investment called Freedom CLO. Then, in a series of transactions, it shifted Freedom back and forth to the New York Fed, in exchange for cash. Those moves helped make Lehman look healthier.

“Essentially, Lehman was able to temporarily warehouse illiquid investments that were worrying its investors at the New York Fed in return for cash. The Fed created this facility immediately after the near collapse of Bear Stearns. Some suspect that other banks engaged in similar maneuvers.” ("Fed Helped Bank Raise Cash Quickly", Eric Dash, New York Times)

So why did "Lehman executives believe the Fed would be able to help the bank avert disaster and provide it with a business opportunity"? Most likely, because that had been standard operating procedure. The Fed was merely acting as it had before. Lehman used the repo market to amplify leverage to maximize profits, (the same as the other banks) and when they couldn’t find a counterparty to accept their garbage collateral, the Fed would step in and provide short-term loans and "warehouse" their toxic assets. In essence, the Fed was helping to defraud investors who believed the banks reports were accurate. Here’s Yves Smith at Naked Capitalism who sums it up perfectly:

"The NY Fed, and thus Timothy Geithner, were at a minimum massively derelict in the performance of their duties, and may well be culpable in aiding and abetting Lehman in accounting fraud and Sarbox violations……at a minimum, the NY Fed helped perpetuate a fraud on investors and counterparties. This pattern further suggests the Fed, which by its charter is tasked to promote the safety and soundness of the banking system, instead, via its collusion with Lehman management, operated to protect particular actors to the detriment of the public at large. And most important, it says that the NY Fed, and likely Geithner himself, undermined, perhaps even violated, laws designed to protect investors and markets."

So if the NY Fed had no moral qualms about its "repo 105" dealings with Lehman, than why would hesitate to do the same thing for the other banks? Tyler Durden at Zero Hedge answers the question like this:

"We contend that Repo 105 type book-cooking and quarter end balance sheet window dressing was a prevalent phenomenon among all the banks. The fact that over the past two and a half years this resulted in a differential from the peak quarterly assets of over $65 billion is unbelievable, and the fact that this had slipped through the regulators’ fingers is inexcusable…..

“We are confident that armed with this data, the SEC will be able to provide a prompt and logical response to why the primary dealers have such a peculiar pattern in downshifting their assets toward quarter end, and much more relevantly, who the counterparties are that would consistently take the other side of these quarter end window-dressing trades." ("Evidence That Primary Dealers Have Collectively Engaged In Repo 105 And Qtr-End Book Cooking Type Schemes For Years" zero hedge, 4-9-10)

Durden’s logic looks good. If Lehman was being aided in its "book cooking" by the NY Fed, then the other banks were probably being helped, as well. It looks like Geithner left his fingerprints everywhere.

If we add these new developments to the fact that the Financial Accounting Standards Board’s (FASB) "mark to market" rule has been suspended (allowing banks to arbitrarily assign whatever value they choose to the own illiquid assets) and, the fact that the Federal Reserve still refuses to allow an independent audit of the dodgy collateral it accepted from the banks in exchange for Treasuries and other loans; then it still looks like the banking system is either teetering or insolvent.

And don’t expect the Securities and Exchange Commission to get to the bottom of this either. SEC chairman Mary Schapiro is a proven financial industry loyalist who has no intention of upsetting her Wall Street overlords by digging too deep or issuing subpoenas. If she pursues the investigation at all, it will only be to placate the public and to apply liberal amounts of whitewash to the whole matter.

Mike Whitney lives in Washington state. He can be reached at fergiewhitney@msn.com

Mike Whitney: Is the Fed Helping the Big Banks to Cook Their Books?

Is the Fed Helping the Big Banks to Cook Their books???

An Insolvent System?
Is the Fed Helping the Big Banks to Cook Their Books????
By MIKE WHITNEY

On Friday, the Wall Street Journal revealed details of a cover up by the nation’s largest banks that have been engaged in potentially-criminal accounting activities to conceal the amount of debt on their balance sheets. The SEC has been notified of the allegations and has launched a probe to determine whether further action is needed. Among the banks implicated, are Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Bank of America, and Citigroup. According to the WSJ:

"Major banks have masked their risk levels in the past five quarters by temporarily lowering their debt just before reporting it to the public, according to data from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. A group of 18 banks….understated the debt levels used to fund securities trades by lowering them an average of 42 per cent at the end of each of the past five quarterly periods, the data show. The banks, which publicly release debt data each quarter, then boosted the debt levels in the middle of successive quarters." ("Big Banks Mask Risk Levels", Kate Kelly, Tom McGinty, Dan Fitzpatrick, Wall Street Journal)

The article has set off alarm bells on Wall Street because of the similarity between Lehman Bros. "repo 105" transactions and these new signs of obfuscation by other large banks. "Repo 105" is an accounting device that Lehman used to hide $50 billion in debt off its balance sheet in an attempt to mislead investors about the true state of its financial health. The WSJ story suggests that the practice may be more widespread than originally thought. The "repo 105" scandal is further complicated by suspicions that Lehman was assisted in its effort by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York which, at the time, was headed by the present Secretary of the Treasury, Timothy Geithner. Here is a short recap of what transpired between the Geithner’s NY Fed and Lehman according to ex-regulator William Black and former NY governor Eliot Spitzer from an article on Huffington Post:

"The FRBNY [i.e., New York Fed] knew that Lehman was engaged in smoke and mirrors designed to overstate its liquidity and, therefore, was unwilling to lend as much money to Lehman. The FRBNY did not, however, inform the SEC, the public, or the Office of Thrift Supervision (which regulated an S&L that Lehman owned) of what should have been viewed by all as ongoing misrepresentations.

The Fed’s behavior made it clear that officials didn’t believe they needed to do more with this information. The FRBNY remained willing to lend to an institution with misleading accounting and neither remedied the accounting nor notified other regulators who may have had the opportunity to do so…… We now know from Valukas and from former Treasury Secretary Paulson that the Treasury and the Fed knew that Lehman was massively overstating its on-book asset values." (Time for the Truth" William Black and Eliot Spitzer, Huffington Post)

So the question is whether the NY Fed helped other banks conceal important financial information from investors, too. And–if that’s the case–then how can the public be confident that the biggest banks in the country are truly solvent?
According to the WSJ: "An official at the Federal Reserve Board noted that the Fed continuously monitors asset levels at the large bank-holding companies, but the financing activities captured in the New York Fed’s data fall under the purview of the Securities and Exchange Commission, which regulates brokerage firms."

The Fed’s explanation is a tacit denial of its responsibility to regulate or report suspicious accounting practices to the appropriate agencies. The response is not just "buck passing", but also suggests collusion. So far, there’s no clear link between the Fed and the shady bookeeping at the banks. But many now believe that — in the case of Lehman — the Fed acted as an "enabler", either by serving as a counterparty in repo 105 deals or by looking the other way while the transactions were executed. Either way, the situation demands an independent investigation.

To put the WSJ article in context, it helps to review the details of the Lehman case. Here’s an excerpt from an article by Eric Dash in the NY Times:

"Newly released report on the collapse of Lehman Brothers … sheds surprising new light on Lehman’s dealings with the New York Fed. Lehman engaged in a series of transactions with the New York Fed that were similar to the ones that drew criticism from the bankruptcy court examiner who investigated its collapse….

“The report by Mr. Valukas nonetheless raises fresh questions about the role of the New York Fed in supporting Lehman during the frantic months leading up to its collapse. It suggests that Lehman executives believed the Fed would be able to help the bank avert disaster and provide it with a business opportunity…

“Lehman, desperate for financing, seized its chance. It packaged billions of dollars of troubled corporate loans into an investment called Freedom CLO. Then, in a series of transactions, it shifted Freedom back and forth to the New York Fed, in exchange for cash. Those moves helped make Lehman look healthier.

“Essentially, Lehman was able to temporarily warehouse illiquid investments that were worrying its investors at the New York Fed in return for cash. The Fed created this facility immediately after the near collapse of Bear Stearns. Some suspect that other banks engaged in similar maneuvers.” ("Fed Helped Bank Raise Cash Quickly", Eric Dash, New York Times)

So why did "Lehman executives believe the Fed would be able to help the bank avert disaster and provide it with a business opportunity"? Most likely, because that had been standard operating procedure. The Fed was merely acting as it had before. Lehman used the repo market to amplify leverage to maximize profits, (the same as the other banks) and when they couldn’t find a counterparty to accept their garbage collateral, the Fed would step in and provide short-term loans and "warehouse" their toxic assets. In essence, the Fed was helping to defraud investors who believed the banks reports were accurate. Here’s Yves Smith at Naked Capitalism who sums it up perfectly:

"The NY Fed, and thus Timothy Geithner, were at a minimum massively derelict in the performance of their duties, and may well be culpable in aiding and abetting Lehman in accounting fraud and Sarbox violations……at a minimum, the NY Fed helped perpetuate a fraud on investors and counterparties. This pattern further suggests the Fed, which by its charter is tasked to promote the safety and soundness of the banking system, instead, via its collusion with Lehman management, operated to protect particular actors to the detriment of the public at large. And most important, it says that the NY Fed, and likely Geithner himself, undermined, perhaps even violated, laws designed to protect investors and markets."

So if the NY Fed had no moral qualms about its "repo 105" dealings with Lehman, than why would hesitate to do the same thing for the other banks? Tyler Durden at Zero Hedge answers the question like this:

"We contend that Repo 105 type book-cooking and quarter end balance sheet window dressing was a prevalent phenomenon among all the banks. The fact that over the past two and a half years this resulted in a differential from the peak quarterly assets of over $65 billion is unbelievable, and the fact that this had slipped through the regulators’ fingers is inexcusable…..

“We are confident that armed with this data, the SEC will be able to provide a prompt and logical response to why the primary dealers have such a peculiar pattern in downshifting their assets toward quarter end, and much more relevantly, who the counterparties are that would consistently take the other side of these quarter end window-dressing trades." ("Evidence That Primary Dealers Have Collectively Engaged In Repo 105 And Qtr-End Book Cooking Type Schemes For Years" zero hedge, 4-9-10)

Durden’s logic looks good. If Lehman was being aided in its "book cooking" by the NY Fed, then the other banks were probably being helped, as well. It looks like Geithner left his fingerprints everywhere.

If we add these new developments to the fact that the Financial Accounting Standards Board’s (FASB) "mark to market" rule has been suspended (allowing banks to arbitrarily assign whatever value they choose to the own illiquid assets) and, the fact that the Federal Reserve still refuses to allow an independent audit of the dodgy collateral it accepted from the banks in exchange for Treasuries and other loans; then it still looks like the banking system is either teetering or insolvent.

And don’t expect the Securities and Exchange Commission to get to the bottom of this either. SEC chairman Mary Schapiro is a proven financial industry loyalist who has no intention of upsetting her Wall Street overlords by digging too deep or issuing subpoenas. If she pursues the investigation at all, it will only be to placate the public and to apply liberal amounts of whitewash to the whole matter.

Mike Whitney lives in Washington state. He can be reached at fergiewhitney@msn.com

Mike Whitney: Is the Fed Helping the Big Banks to Cook Their Books?

Dubai enters an age of austerity

The emirate has announced a 6 per cent cut in state spending for 2010 as it feels the strain of its debts in the aftermath of its real estate sector collapse

In contrast to the expansionist fiscal spending programmes in neighbouring Gulf states, Dubai announced a 6 per cent reduction in expenditure for its 2010 budget last month. Spending is projected to be $9.64bn this year, compared with $10.3bn in 2009.

1.2 Million to Lose Unemployment Benefits Today

Just a reminder …

From John Schmid at the Journal Sentinel: Unemployment benefits for 1.2 million Americans could expire Sunday

Nearly 1.2 million unemployed Americans … face an imminent cutoff of government unemployment checks if Congress cannot pass emergency legislation to extend federal benefits before funding expires Sunday.

The National Employment Law Project (NELP) released a report in early February showing:
1.2 million jobless workers will become ineligible for federal unemployment benefits in March unless Congress extends the unemployment safety net programs from the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA). By June, this number will swell to nearly 5 million unemployed workers nationally who will be left without any jobless benefits.

Currently, 5.6 million people are accessing one of the federal extensions (34-53 weeks of Emergency Unemployment Compensation; 13-20 weeks of Extended Benefits, a program normally funded 50 percent by the states).
The plan had been to pass a 30 day extension, and then pass a 2nd bill in March to extend benefits for a year. Now apparently the plan is to pass the larger bill this week. If Congress acts quickly, the impact on the unemployed will be minimal because the benefits will be retroactive to March 1st.

The long term unemployment issue isn’t going away any time soon. The following graph is based on the January employment report and shows the number of workers unemployed for 27 weeks or more …

Click on graph for larger image in new window.

The blue line is the number of workers unemployed for 27 weeks or more. The red line is the same data as a percent of the civilian workforce.

According to the BLS, there are a record 6.31 million workers who have been unemployed for more than 26 weeks (and still want a job). This is a record 4.1% of the civilian workforce. (note: records started in 1948).

Calculated Risk: 1.2 Million to Lose Unemployment Benefits Today

ECONOMIC RECOVERY?!!! right…

JeVVish-owned Federal Reserve is the ‘highest authority’ in America

  • JeVVish-owned Federal Reserve is the ‘highest authority’ in America

AIG says $182 billion bailout not enough, wants more news

AIG says $182 billion bailout not enough, wants more news

27 February 2010

American International Group Inc (AIG), once the world’s largest insurer, which narrowly missed bankruptcy unlike Lehman Brothers in 2008, has said that it may require additional US government support after incurring an $8.9-billion net loss in its fourth-quarter.

AIG, which posted a $10.9-billion loss last year in the midst of the global financial crisis, said that the fourth quarter net loss of $8.9 billion was a far improvement from the $61.7 billion loss for the same period in 2008 and the $100 billion loss for the whole of 2008.

AIG made a net loss of $12.3 billion for the whole of 2009.

Robert Benmosche, hired in August as AIG’s chief executive, said that the insurance major’s restructuring plan has shown ”great progress” by selling non-core businesses, reducing exposure to risky assets and stabilising its insurance operations.

Despite this, the New York-based AIG said in a filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission that it may need additional government support. ”Without additional support … there could exist substantial doubt about AIG’s ability to continue as a going concern,” the filing said.

The US government bailed out AIG with a initial loan of $85 billion in September 2008 following the global financial crisis, where the insurer was on the verge of bankruptcy due to its risky transactions in mortgage securities and derivatives., (See: $85-billion bailout for AIG)

It again pumped more money taking the total bailout amount to $182.5 billion, making it to be the biggest bailout in US history. (See: AIG uses up $90 billion of $123 billion bailout, may require more)

AIG had sold protection on $441 billion of fixed-income investments, including $57.8 billion in securities tied to sub-prime mortgages. The swaps plunged in value as the assets they guaranteed declined, forcing $25 billion in write-downs over nine months and leading to three quarterly losses in 2008.

The US government was later forced to pump in additional money and is now 79.9 per cent owned by it taking the total bailout money to $182.5 billion.

After selling assets and cutting down on costs, AIG owed the US government $85.66 billion in loans and interest as of 30 September2009.

Although Benmosche said that he had full confidence in overall business of AIG, the insurer is facing numerous challenges due to tough economic environment and the loss of brand image caused by the bailout.

domain-b.com : AIG says $182 billion bailout not enough, wants more

Fannie Mae reports a staggering $72 billion net loss for 2009,

Fannie Posts $72 Billion Loss for ’09 – WSJ.com

By NICK TIMIRAOS
Fannie Mae reported a staggering $72 billion net loss for 2009, underscoring the challenges that still face the nation’s largest mortgage financier and offering more grim news for taxpayers who may ultimately pick up the bill.

The Washington-based company posted a $15.2 billion fourth-quarter loss and said it asked the U.S. Treasury for another $15.3 billion to stay afloat, bringing its total bailout tab past $76 billion. The quarterly results were an improvement from the year-ago period, when Fannie reported a $25.2 billion loss, but the annual loss surpassed the year-earlier loss of $58.7 billion.

The Fannie Mae earnings release came days after Freddie Mac, its smaller competitor, reported smaller losses. Freddie Mac posted a fourth-quarter net loss of $6.5 billion, didn’t ask for more bailout cash and posted a $21.6 billion loss for 2009, down by more than half from a year earlier.

Freddie’s results have been better, in part, because it has a smaller loan book that has been performing better than Fannie’s. But some analysts warn that Freddie’s losses could rise.

Fannie’s losses were driven by $11.9 billion in credit expenses, including souring loans and costs from maintaining a growing stable of foreclosed properties. Fannie also took a $5 billion write-down on low-income tax-credit investments after the government said it wouldn’t allow the company to sell them. Those tax credits are worthless to Fannie but could result in lower tax revenues for the government if they are sold.

The housing market has shown signs of stabilizing in recent months, but Fannie said that unemployment and continued defaults from many borrowers who owe more on their mortgages than their homes are worth meant that losses would continue through 2010, though at lower levels.

While some analysts warn that efforts to modify loans are simply postponing foreclosures and delaying losses, Fannie Chief Executive Michael Williams said the company remained committed to preventing foreclosures. "Our overriding objective is keeping people in their homes whenever possible," he said in a statement.

The government took over Fannie and Freddie nearly 18 months ago as rising loan defaults burned big holes in the companies’ balance sheets. The government has agreed to absorb unlimited losses for the next three years and up to $400 billion after that. So far, the companies have taken a combined $127 billion in Treasury support, making this bailout one of the most expensive from the financial crisis.

The government has relied heavily on the companies to help heal broken housing markets, and they are at the center of the Obama administration’s initiatives to rework loans for millions of troubled borrowers to avoid foreclosures.

The Obama administration said this past week that it wouldn’t propose legislation to revamp the troubled wards of the state until next year. At a Senate hearing on Thursday, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said it was "very important that we move towards clarifying the longer-term status" of the companies.

He warned against any overhaul that might reconstitute the "platypus"-like, public-private hybrid structure that defined the companies before conservatorship, and he said that privatizing the firms would be an "interesting direction" to take.

Write to Nick Timiraos at nick.timiraos@wsj.com

Spectre of endless wars coming back to haunt US

The American government, backed by Zionist Jews are bankrupting America with the cost of endless war and human life

The Irish Times – Thursday, February 25, 2010

The conflicts in Iraq and Afghanistan are bankrupting America, writes Lara Marlowe in Washington

THE WARS in Afghanistan and Iraq are not going to plan for US president Barack Obama. In Afghanistan, America is about to cross the symbolic threshold of 1,000 deaths.

In Iraq, where 4,366 service members have been killed since 2003, there are indications that Mr Obama’s promised troop withdrawal may not take place as scheduled.

Governments in both countries have proven to be unreliable allies. Afghan president Hamid Karzai hectors the US for killing Afghan civilians in its airstrikes (up to 27 people, including women and children, last Sunday). He has enraged US commentators by decreeing himself sole arbiter of the Electoral Complaints Commission in the run-up to next September’s legislative election.

The commission, which had three members appointed by the UN, exposed widespread fraud in Mr Karzai’s re-election last year. Washington also feels let down by its Nato allies. The fall of the Dutch government last weekend, over the deployment of 2,000 Dutch troops in Afghanistan, makes it likely the Netherlands will withdraw its forces this year.

In a lecture at the National Defence University this week, US secretary of defense Robert Gates said Europe’s anti-military views have become dangerous.

“The demilitarization of Europe – where large swaths of the general public and political class are averse to military force and the risks that go with it – has gone from a blessing in the 20th century to an impediment to achieving real security and lasting peace in the 21st,” Mr Gates said.

The wars are bankrupting America, compounding its $12.4 trillion (€9.16 trillion) national debt.


Andrew Bacevich, a retired US army colonel and professor of history at Boston University, says it’s a myth that Republicans are hawks, Democrats doves. “In fact, the Obama administration has increased defence spending,” Prof Bacevich notes.

“We are now spending more on defense than at any time since the second World War . . . This ever-increasing level of defence spending is something that people shrug off. They don’t even pause to consider what it signifies.”

There is a guns or butter dilemma, but America ignores it.

The US spends $700 billion annually on defence – a third more than it did to confront the Soviet Union during the Cold War. By comparison, Obama’s healthcare plan would cost $950 billion over a decade. Deficit spending is the Republicans’ main grievance, yet no one in US politics questions the defence budget.

US defence spending became sacrosanct after the atrocities of 9/11. The consensus eroded when the Iraq war turned sour.

“One of the principal sources of energy informing the Obama candidacy was that he represented something fundamentally different,” recalls Prof Bacevich.

“Now, the president has re-constituted that post-9/11 consensus in favour of war.”

The consensus centred on Afghanistan, which Mr Obama called “the war we must win”. By contrast, Mr Obama promised to draw down troops levels in Iraq from 96,000 at present to 50,000 by September 1st, and a total withdrawal in 2011.

But this week, Gen Ray Odierno, the top US commander in Iraq, said he was briefing officials on contingency plans to delay the withdrawal in the event of political instability and violence after the March 7th Iraqi election.

Gen Odierno’s prediction that circumstances could thwart the withdrawal was seconded in yesterday’s New York Times by Thomas Ricks, the former Washington Post defence correspondent who wrote two books on the Iraq war and is now a senior fellow at the Centre for a New American Security.

“The American people find themselves facing a situation in which both of these conflicts – the one that Obama rejected and the one that Obama, however reluctantly, embraced – both conflicts will likely be with us for the indefinite future,” says Prof Bacevich.

How does one explain the US public’s apparent acceptance of endless war?

“It’s certainly true that the Americans who benefit most immediately from the American way of life are not sending their sons and daughters to fight in Afghanistan and Iraq . . . The great majority of the American people are oblivious to the actual sacrifices being made,” says Prof Bacevich. His own son was killed in Iraq in 2007.

The approximately 200,000 US troops in Afghanistan and Iraq are drawn from a small pool, with many soldiers serving repeated tours of duty in both wars.

According to the Washington Post , at least 23 of the 73 US soldiers killed in Afghanistan since December previously served in Iraq.

What should Obama do? Prof Bacevich answers my question with another question: “What exactly is the threat we face, and from a broad strategic point of view, what’s the response to the threat?”

The threat, Prof Bacevich continues, is “violent, anti-western jihadism. That’s a real threat. It’s to be dealt with by a combination of measures to contain jihadism, and something like an international police effort to identify and root out the terrorist networks.

“There is no place on Earth that is the centre of the jihadist conspiracy, and that’s one reason why invading and occupying countries just doesn’t make sense.”

Spectre of endless wars coming back to haunt US – The Irish Times – Thu, Feb 25, 2010

Spectre of endless wars coming back to haunt US

The American government, backed by Zionist Jews are bankrupting America with the cost of endless war and human life

The Irish Times – Thursday, February 25, 2010

The conflicts in Iraq and Afghanistan are bankrupting America, writes Lara Marlowe in Washington

THE WARS in Afghanistan and Iraq are not going to plan for US president Barack Obama. In Afghanistan, America is about to cross the symbolic threshold of 1,000 deaths.

In Iraq, where 4,366 service members have been killed since 2003, there are indications that Mr Obama’s promised troop withdrawal may not take place as scheduled.

Governments in both countries have proven to be unreliable allies. Afghan president Hamid Karzai hectors the US for killing Afghan civilians in its airstrikes (up to 27 people, including women and children, last Sunday). He has enraged US commentators by decreeing himself sole arbiter of the Electoral Complaints Commission in the run-up to next September’s legislative election.

The commission, which had three members appointed by the UN, exposed widespread fraud in Mr Karzai’s re-election last year. Washington also feels let down by its Nato allies. The fall of the Dutch government last weekend, over the deployment of 2,000 Dutch troops in Afghanistan, makes it likely the Netherlands will withdraw its forces this year.

In a lecture at the National Defence University this week, US secretary of defense Robert Gates said Europe’s anti-military views have become dangerous.

“The demilitarization of Europe – where large swaths of the general public and political class are averse to military force and the risks that go with it – has gone from a blessing in the 20th century to an impediment to achieving real security and lasting peace in the 21st,” Mr Gates said.

The wars are bankrupting America, compounding its $12.4 trillion (€9.16 trillion) national debt.


Andrew Bacevich, a retired US army colonel and professor of history at Boston University, says it’s a myth that Republicans are hawks, Democrats doves. “In fact, the Obama administration has increased defence spending,” Prof Bacevich notes.

“We are now spending more on defense than at any time since the second World War . . . This ever-increasing level of defence spending is something that people shrug off. They don’t even pause to consider what it signifies.”

There is a guns or butter dilemma, but America ignores it.

The US spends $700 billion annually on defence – a third more than it did to confront the Soviet Union during the Cold War. By comparison, Obama’s healthcare plan would cost $950 billion over a decade. Deficit spending is the Republicans’ main grievance, yet no one in US politics questions the defence budget.

US defence spending became sacrosanct after the atrocities of 9/11. The consensus eroded when the Iraq war turned sour.

“One of the principal sources of energy informing the Obama candidacy was that he represented something fundamentally different,” recalls Prof Bacevich.

“Now, the president has re-constituted that post-9/11 consensus in favour of war.”

The consensus centred on Afghanistan, which Mr Obama called “the war we must win”. By contrast, Mr Obama promised to draw down troops levels in Iraq from 96,000 at present to 50,000 by September 1st, and a total withdrawal in 2011.

But this week, Gen Ray Odierno, the top US commander in Iraq, said he was briefing officials on contingency plans to delay the withdrawal in the event of political instability and violence after the March 7th Iraqi election.

Gen Odierno’s prediction that circumstances could thwart the withdrawal was seconded in yesterday’s New York Times by Thomas Ricks, the former Washington Post defence correspondent who wrote two books on the Iraq war and is now a senior fellow at the Centre for a New American Security.

“The American people find themselves facing a situation in which both of these conflicts – the one that Obama rejected and the one that Obama, however reluctantly, embraced – both conflicts will likely be with us for the indefinite future,” says Prof Bacevich.

How does one explain the US public’s apparent acceptance of endless war?

“It’s certainly true that the Americans who benefit most immediately from the American way of life are not sending their sons and daughters to fight in Afghanistan and Iraq . . . The great majority of the American people are oblivious to the actual sacrifices being made,” says Prof Bacevich. His own son was killed in Iraq in 2007.

The approximately 200,000 US troops in Afghanistan and Iraq are drawn from a small pool, with many soldiers serving repeated tours of duty in both wars.

According to the Washington Post , at least 23 of the 73 US soldiers killed in Afghanistan since December previously served in Iraq.

What should Obama do? Prof Bacevich answers my question with another question: “What exactly is the threat we face, and from a broad strategic point of view, what’s the response to the threat?”

The threat, Prof Bacevich continues, is “violent, anti-western jihadism. That’s a real threat. It’s to be dealt with by a combination of measures to contain jihadism, and something like an international police effort to identify and root out the terrorist networks.

“There is no place on Earth that is the centre of the jihadist conspiracy, and that’s one reason why invading and occupying countries just doesn’t make sense.”

Spectre of endless wars coming back to haunt US – The Irish Times – Thu, Feb 25, 2010

US unemployment remains in turmoil

Thu, 25 Feb 2010

The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits has spiked to an unprecedented level in the past three months, reflecting an enduring turmoil in the US job market.

During the week ending February 20th, some 496,000 people in America claimed jobless benefits, a number that represent an increase of 22,000 people compared to last week’s claims of 474,000, the US Labor Department reported on Thursday, according to AFP.

Economists surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires expected initial claims to decrease by 13,000 — to around 460,000 — as last week’s data had also shown an unexpected hike.

Addressing the National Governors Association earlier this week, Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody’s Economy.com said that claims must drop to around 400,000 in order for it to be consistent with what is considered to be a stable market. To be consistent with enough job growth, he said, claims would have to then tumble to around 350,000, reported The Wall Street Journal.

The US President Barack Obama, faced with a double-digit unemployment rate, admits that there is still a long way to go for the US economy to recover.

"Millions of Americans are still without jobs. Millions more are struggling to make ends meet. It doesn’t yet feel like much of a recovery. I understand that," said Obama.

US unemployment remains in turmoil

Jobs Bill Won’t Add Many Jobs

The Associated Press reports that a bipartisan jobs bill in front of congress has one major flaw: It won’t create many jobs.

Forest Exile: Homeless New Yorkers camp out crisis

The recession has left many Americans in urgent need of shelter and with nowhere to go, forcing some to retreat to the woods. In the countryside, just one hour’s drive from Manhattan, a shanty town of tents has sprung up. Anastasia Churkina meets the people for whom camping out, has become a way of life.

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